ODYSSEY MARINE EXPLORATION INC (OMEX)·Q4 2013 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record quarter: Q4 2013 revenue of $17.2M (+118% y/y) and net income of $10.8M ($0.13 EPS) driven by monetization of SS Gairsoppa silver; cash increased to $32.0M at 12/31/13 .
- Sequential inflection: revenue rose from $5.55M in Q3 to $17.24M in Q4 with EPS turning from $(0.01) to $0.13 as silver sales and hedge gains flowed through .
- Strategic optionality: Oceanica monetization generated $27.5M cash in 2013 (not in GAAP P&L), with a preliminary QP assessment estimating >505M ore tonnes of phosphorite; JPMorgan advising on options .
- 2014 catalysts: court‑approved SS Central America recovery to begin Apr 2014; management signaled adequate 2014 funding without OMEX equity issuance and intent to repay $10M Gairsoppa project loan by Jul 24, 2014 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record monetization from SS Gairsoppa: “we monetized the majority of the 61 tons of silver we recovered in 2013… which drove these record top and bottom line results” – Mark Gordon, President & COO .
- Technology and execution leadership: Gairsoppa operations set “a record for the deepest and heaviest precious metal cargo recovery… nearly three miles” validating techniques and state‑of‑the‑art tech .
- Minerals platform validation and liquidity: $27.5M cash from Oceanica stake sales in 2013; preliminary QP assessment indicates >505M ore tonnes of high‑quality phosphorite; JPMorgan advising to maximize value .
What Went Wrong
- Elevated OpEx and legal costs: Marketing, G&A rose to $14.2M in 2013 (vs. $10.6M in 2012) driven by professional fees, personnel, and $1.1M Black Swan settlement; Q4 also impacted by legal spend .
- Business model volatility: Management cautions capacity to generate net income depends on successful recoveries/monetizations and minerals progress; 2014 plan requires new cash inflows with no committed new debt/equity at time of filing .
- GAAP visibility constraints: $27.5M Oceanica cash proceeds (liquidity positive) are not recognized in the income statement under GAAP, limiting earnings carry‑through despite cash generation .
Financial Results
Year-over-Year (Q4 2012 → Q4 2013)
Sequential (Q3 2013 → Q4 2013)
Actuals vs. Estimates (Q4 2013)
Note: We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus; data was unavailable due to request limits at query time. [GetEstimates error]
KPIs and Project Economics (select)
- Gairsoppa 2013 recovery: 61 tons silver recovered in 2013; total nearly 110 tons across 2012–2013; 1.8M troy oz recovered in 2013; 2013 silver sold for $35M (pre‑split with UKG, post refiner fees) .
- Gairsoppa revenue recognition: $20.8M in FY2013, of which $16.7M recognized in Q4 2013; $9.2M in 2013 credited against OpEx per contract recoupment .
- Silver price hedging: realized gain $1.206M on fixed‑price swaps in Q4 2013 .
- Liquidity: Cash $32.0M at 12/31/2013 (vs. $10.4M at 12/31/2012), aided by Gairsoppa monetization and Oceanica stake sales .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: A Q4 2013 earnings call was announced, but we could not locate the transcript in our corpus. Thematic evolution below is synthesized from the 10‑K and press releases.
Management Commentary
- “Our record revenue growth in 2013 and profitability in Q4 reflects our unique abilities to discover, recover and monetize valuable undersea assets.” – Mark Gordon, President & COO .
- “We recovered nearly 110 tons of silver from the Gairsoppa… strong validation of our team’s pioneering techniques and state‑of‑the‑art technology.” – Mark Gordon .
- “This past year was… important for the validation of our new mineral exploration business… we received $27.5 million in cash from the sale of a minority stake in our Oceanica mineral deposit.” – Greg Stemm, CEO .
- On Oceanica’s resource: preliminary independent QP estimates “more than 505 million ore tonnes of high quality phosphorite.” – Management .
- On near‑term catalysts: exclusive contract to recover the remaining gold cargo of SS Central America; operations planned to begin in April 2014 .
- On funding: company expected “adequate funding for planned operations during 2014 with no need for equity financing using OMEX stock” .
Q&A Highlights
We could not locate a Q4 2013 earnings call transcript in our document set; the company announced a call on Mar 17, 2014, but no transcript was available to extract Q&A themes or clarifications .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus for Q4 2013 revenue and EPS; data was unavailable at query time due to request limits. As a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus consensus for this quarter. [GetEstimates error]
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q4 was a step‑change: monetization of Gairsoppa silver turned a volatile story into a profitable quarter (EPS $0.13), demonstrating the earnings power when high‑value recoveries convert to cash .
- Liquidity materially improved (cash $32.0M), aided by Gairsoppa and Oceanica stake sales; management plans to repay the $10M project loan by July 2014, reducing financing risk .
- Minerals optionality is real: a preliminary QP resource (>505M ore tonnes) plus JPMorgan’s advisory role position Oceanica for strategic alternatives, though GAAP won’t recognize such cash proceeds in earnings until events occur .
- 2014 catalysts include SS Central America recoveries and further Oceanica updates; execution on these will likely drive stock narrative and valuation .
- Costs remain a watch item: legal and higher G&A compressed full‑year results; sustaining lower run‑rate overhead and disciplined hedging (as in Q4) would support future profitability .
- Business remains event‑driven and lumpy; investors should expect quarter‑to‑quarter volatility tied to timing of recoveries, monetizations, and permitting milestones .
Sources: Q4 2013 8‑K press release and exhibits ; FY2013 10‑K (quarterly data, project details, liquidity, hedging, Oceanica) ; Jan 6, 2014 8‑K press release (cash update, funding, project plans) .